Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.239681 0.271794 0.306089 0.345382 0.389097 0.436175 0.490651
2025-09-28 0.195515 0.238356 0.287027 0.346204 0.415987 0.495425 0.592458
2025-10-05 0.166495 0.216126 0.275590 0.351627 0.445769 0.557961 0.701189
2025-10-12 0.146422 0.201012 0.269568 0.361185 0.479500 0.626132 0.820461
2025-10-19 0.128328 0.185512 0.260492 0.364785 0.504662 0.684164 0.930028
2025-10-26 0.115061 0.174390 0.255296 0.371965 0.533818 0.748026 1.050047
2025-11-02 0.105404 0.166851 0.253705 0.383110 0.568164 0.819902 1.184058
2025-11-09 0.093589 0.154628 0.243990 0.381426 0.583801 0.866438 1.285388
2025-11-16 0.083709 0.144059 0.235401 0.380136 0.599156 0.912587 1.387740
2025-11-23 0.075156 0.134511 0.227252 0.378427 0.613153 0.956823 1.488840
2025-11-30 0.069854 0.129579 0.225636 0.386271 0.641510 1.022901 1.624385
2025-12-07 0.063655 0.122415 0.219700 0.386584 0.657882 1.071476 1.735733
2025-12-14 0.057859 0.115523 0.213901 0.387139 0.675420 1.123958 1.857734
2025-12-21 0.052748 0.109271 0.208576 0.387952 0.693252 1.177657 1.984191
2025-12-28 0.049005 0.105115 0.206450 0.393898 0.719685 1.246032 2.136719
2026-01-04 0.046304 0.102631 0.207020 0.404439 0.754276 1.328983 2.316089
2026-01-11 0.042946 0.098453 0.204082 0.408401 0.777654 1.394545 2.470078
2026-01-18 0.040414 0.095652 0.203421 0.416329 0.808214 1.473211 2.648756
2026-01-25 0.038615 0.094172 0.205117 0.428640 0.847093 1.567451 2.857128
2026-02-01 0.035385 0.089231 0.199578 0.426777 0.860116 1.617953 2.993684
2026-02-08 0.032516 0.084739 0.194508 0.425350 0.873666 1.669714 3.134224
2026-02-15 0.029875 0.080444 0.189436 0.423459 0.886068 1.719767 3.273559
2026-02-22 0.028418 0.078753 0.189652 0.432126 0.918854 1.807338 3.481840